PROFIT RATE CONVERGENCE IN THE EUROPEAN ECONOMIC AREA: A PANEL DATA ANALYSIS

Ivan D. Trofimov

Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand

This paper examines profitability disparities across the European economies using the aggregate and sectoral data for the period from 1995 to 2019 and applying a combination of panel unit root tests and the club convergence procedure. For most of the sectors, no convergence was identified at the aggregate level. Convergence within the clubs to multiple equilibrium levels, however, was identified. This convergence pattern was the most typical in the knowledge-intensive service sectors. The exogenous shocks had temporary effects on the economies’ profit rates (thus contributing to convergence), whereas the country- and sector-specific profitability components were characterized by stochastic behavior (attesting to nonconvergence). Overall, the persistence of profitability disparities was demonstrated. The findings suggest the importance of the firm-specific and local profitability drivers and the limited effects of the macroeconomic and competition policies on profit rates.

Keywords: convergence, panel unit root tests, industry, Europe

JEL Classification: L60, L80, N34, O477